The reasoning HERE, based on a recent public-opinion poll and on exit polls in primary contests, is a little complicated, but not so much that the central point is not clearly made.
The reasoning HERE, based on a recent public-opinion poll and on exit polls in primary contests, is a little complicated, but not so much that the central point is not clearly made.
Impossible — white voters are biased and unwilling to vote across racial lines. Further, they lie to pollsters about voting intentions favoring the non-white candidate.