Applesauce
Pat Cunningham offers an unabashedly liberal perspective on national politics. A note of caution: The language gets a litttle salty on some of the sites to which this blog links. So, don’t say you weren’t warned. By the way, this blog’s name is inspired by the Will Rogers quote, “All politics is applesauce.”

Wow! I hope this is true, but I wonder

April 18th, 2008 at 05:13pm Pat Cunningham

 ap_clinton_obama_070615_ms.jpg

Newsweek is out with a NEW POLL this afternoon that shows Barack Obama taking a whopping lead of 19 percentage points over Hillary Clinton among Democratic voters nationwide.

But I’m a little skeptical.  The margin of error in this poll is 5 percentage points, which is fairly high.  Moreover, a slight majority of the voters involved were interviewed before Wednesday night’s debate, which could have changed some people’s minds.

Still, the magazine says “Obama appears to have the momentum on nearly every front, both among Democrats and general voters nationwide…[B]y  a large margin (55 percent to 33 percent) Democratic voters now say Obama—not Clinton—is the candidate they believe is more likely to defeat McCain in November.”

Even if this poll overstates Obama’s standing among Democratic voters, the publicity it’s likely to engender (such as on this wildly popular blog) could create a bandwagon effect going into Tuesday’s Pennsylvania primary. 

Entry Filed under: John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama

2 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Kaus  |  April 19th, 2008 at 6:22 pm

    But but but…..Gallop Poll has Hillary leading nationally today 46 percent to 45 %.

    Whom do you trust?

  • 2. Pat Cunningham  |  April 19th, 2008 at 7:48 pm

    Hey, I don’t do these polls. I only report them. Besides, I said I had my doubts about the Newsweek poll.

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