Great expectations
May 5th, 2008 at 12:33pm Pat Cunningham
You can have a Dickens (ahem) of a time trying to predict the ultimate outcome of tomorrow’s balloting if you play the expectations game as part of the process.
See, it’s not just a matter of who wins the popular tallies in Indiana and North Carolina. You also have to consider the expectations factors.
Does Barack Obama have to win North Carolina by a sizable margin to be the real winner? Does Hillary Clinton have to win Indiana by more than a smidgen?
THIS GUY offers a quick survey of the expectations.
POSTSCRIPT: THE SAME GUY has some good advice about not putting too much stock in poll averages (or “polls of polls,” as they’re sometimes called.
Entry Filed under: Charles Dickens, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama
6 Comments Add your own
1. Mike Carroll | May 5th, 2008 at 1:24 pm
It could be “…the best of times,” it could be the ” worst of times…”, and, if Hillary withdraws it will be “…a far, far better thing that” she does than she has ever done before.
2. Pat Cunningham | May 5th, 2008 at 2:08 pm
A “Pip” of a comment, Mike.
3. Tom McMahon | May 5th, 2008 at 8:00 pm
Hillary just doesn’t have The Wright Stuff.
4. Menlo Bob | May 6th, 2008 at 1:24 am
The vitriol generated these two fine representatives of the the Democratic Party is a wonder to behold. Nevertheless, you people will have to clean up the mess without me. I’m off on a fact finding mission to ancient Europe. Seems they’ve been expressing hatred towards Uncle Sam by electing conservative governments. In an effort to staunch the love I’ve made it my mission to sew dissent by regaling the natives with George Bush agitprop.
5. Menlo Bob | May 6th, 2008 at 1:26 am
In addition to sewing dissent, I’ll be doing double-duty by sowing dissent. Farm state folks know we do both.
6. Pat Cunningham | May 6th, 2008 at 8:01 am
Have a safe trip, Bob.
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