Is Hillary considering quitting?

1 comment May 6th, 2008

 

The Drudge Report posted a one-sentence story late tonight that reads:

“Hillary plans to huddle with undecided super delegates tomorrow; gauging if she can go on…”

Drudge says the story is “developing.”

At this writing, Clinton seems likely to win Indiana by only a narrow margin, if at all.  If she and her people don’t recognize that her campaign is doomed, they’re too dumb to be running the country.

Two peeks inside an asylum

5 comments May 6th, 2008

In these clips from Fox News Channel, four right-wing Republican men clumsily try to discuss class distinctions in America while one Democratic woman sits silently so as not to be noticed in such bad company:

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/ZY7XToUABNQ" width="425" height="350" wmode="transparent" /]

[kml_flashembed movie="http://www.youtube.com/v/OZeGrABneUE" width="425" height="350" wmode="transparent" /]

Obama wins N.C.; Clinton ahead in Indiana

Add comment May 6th, 2008

The networks are shying from declaring Indiana for Hillary Clinton, despite her sizable lead in the early count, because areas thought to be strongly for Barack Obama have yet to report.

UPDATE: Ninety minutes ago, Clinton had 57 percent of the vote in Indiana.  Now, at 8:30 p.m. CST, she has less than 53 percent, with more than a third of precincts yet to report, many of them from comparative Obama strongholds. This could be a cliffhanger (although I still expect her to win).

UPDATE II: Hillary’s lead is down to 4 percentage points at 9:30 pm CST, with Lake County, the second-biggest in the state and solid Obama country, yet to report.

If Obama squeezes by, Hillary is toast.  If he doesn’t, Hillary is still toast. Watch for a flock of superdelegates endorsing Obama in the next few days.

As Pat Buchanan said minutes ago on MSNBC: “It’s over.”

Here are a few previews of today’s primary elections in Indiana and North Carolina

6 comments May 6th, 2008

 

Freeport’s own Dan Balz has THIS PIECE in The Washington Post, and Adam Nagourney of The New York Times offers THIS.

Oh, and Mark Halperin of Time magazine, the most overrated pundit in the Class of ‘08, has THIS.

I made my predictions HERE on Sunday, but I may tweak them a bit (or a lot) as the day goes on. I try to make political prognostications with my head rather than my heart, but that isn’t always easy.  I want to think Barack Obama can win both contests today, but I’m not ready to say he will.

What say you?

UPDATE: The final Zogby TRACKING POLL has Obama leading by 14 points in North Carolina and by 2 points in Indiana.  It should be noted, however, that Zogby’s record so far this season has been less than impressive.

UPDATE II: Drudge SAYS Clinton campaign insiders see her losing in North Carolina by as much as 15 points.

UPDATE III: THIS GUY says women are abandoning Hillary in droves.

UPDATE IV: I’m picking up some buzz that lots of erstwhile Republicans in affluent suburbs of Indianapolis are taking Democratic ballots, but to whose benefit — Obama’s or Clinton’s – is not clear.

UPDATE V: OK, I’m ready to declare the outcome of the North Carolina primary.  It’s not yet noon here in the Midwest, but on the basis of turnout numbers and other factors I’ve examined, I see Obama winning N.C. by a double-digit margin.  You can take it to the bank.