Applesauce
Pat Cunningham offers an unabashedly liberal perspective on national politics. A note of caution: The language gets a litttle salty on some of the sites to which this blog links. So, don’t say you weren’t warned. By the way, this blog’s name is inspired by the Will Rogers quote, “All politics is applesauce.” |
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8 comments September 4th, 2008
The Boston Globe had this to say of the video below, which was shown tonight at the Republican National Convention in St. Paul:
“One of the most enduring taboos in American politics, the airing of graphic images from the September 11 attacks in a partisan context, died today. It was nearly seven years old.”
4 comments September 4th, 2008
And Sarah Palin says she’s opposed to gluttonous feeding at the federal trough.
20 comments September 4th, 2008
The Rev. John Hagee (above left), a FORMER PAL and endorser of John McCain, has no use for dads who stay at home to take care of the kids while mom goes out and works.
He SAYS they’re going to hell.
4 comments September 4th, 2008
It’s been a while since I last posted one of our patented Applesauce Electoral College analyses, and I figure now would be as good a time as any for an update, because it will make it easier to gauge any significant shift that might result from a Republican Convention bounce in the next week or so.
All of this stuff is based on state-by-state figures from the independent Web site Pollster.com. And, as I’ve done in the past, I’m going to give John McCain huge benefits of the doubt.
Here goes:
I’m giving McCain all 112 electoral votes from the states where he’s running strongly and all 64 electoral votes from the states that are leaning his way. For good measure, I’ll also give him 92 of the 102 electoral votes from the states that are currently considered toss-ups.
And then, to be extra charitable about it, I’ll also give McCain all 29 electoral votes from the states that are leaning toward Barack Obama.
[NOTE: THIS PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH AND THE ONE FOLLOWING IT ARE IN ERROR, AS A KEEN-EYED READER HAS NOTICED. THE PROBLEM AND THE CORRECTED EQUATION ARE STATED IN COMMENTS NOS. 2 AND 4 BELOW. IN SHORT, I’M NOT GIVING MCCAIN THE ELECTORAL VOTES FROM STATES LEANING TO OBAMA. BUT THE FINAL TALLY IS THE SAME AS STATED HERE.)
So, I’m giving Obama only the electoral votes from the states where he’s running strongly and just 10 of the 102 electoral votes from toss-up states.
The winner? Obama by a score of 270 to 268.
These numbers can change, of course, and almost certainly will over the next two months. But the way to bet it now, as most of the folks are doing at the INTRADE PREDICTION MARKET, is that Obama will win in November.
10 comments September 4th, 2008
I don’t think Mrs. Straight Talk understands CERTAIN THINGS.
20 comments September 4th, 2008
The biggest newspaper in her state SAYS Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin misrepresented certain realities regarding a gas pipeline and her record on federal earmarks in her speech last night at the Republican National Convention in St. Paul.
Beyond that, of course, were her blatant distortions of Barack Obama’s record, about which we’ll have more here later today.
UPDATE: The Associated Press also has done a little FACT-CHECKING on the GOP rhetoric.
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