Applesauce
Pat Cunningham offers an unabashedly liberal perspective on national politics. A note of caution: The language gets a litttle salty on some of the sites to which this blog links. So, don’t say you weren’t warned. By the way, this blog’s name is inspired by the Will Rogers quote, “All politics is applesauce.”

All three Gallup measures give Obama a good lead

October 31st, 2008 at 02:50pm Pat Cunningham

 barack-obama-0606071.jpg

I recently explained HERE that one of the three polling methods Gallup uses for its daily tracking polls is of questionable accuracy because it depends on an outdated model for determining which registered voters are likely to show up at ballot boxes.

This dubious method, which Gallup calls its “traditional” model, has shown only small leads for Barack Obama in recent weeks, thereby giving the Drudge Report and other anti-Obama partisans something to shout about.

Well, now the “traditional” model is producing numbers more in line with those from the other two polling models Gallup uses.  Hence, Obama is now LEADING by eight, nine or 11 percentage points, depending on which Gallup tracking poll you’re reading.

The Drudge Report, true to form, is not trumpeting this latest edition of the “traditional” poll with the zeal it showed earlier in the week when the numbers were less discouraging to McCainiacs. 

Entry Filed under: Drudge Report, polls, John McCain, Barack Obama

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