Faulty as it is, generic congressional poll shows that GOP is strongest in the South
I’ve never put much stock in generic congressional polls — that is, polls that ask a cross-section of Americans which party they want to control Congress in the next session.
Congressional seats are won district-by-district, not by a national vote. There probably have been years when most respondents in a generic congressional poll favored the party that did NOT win control of Congress.
In the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, the generic congressional question shows a 44-43 lead for Democrats over Republicans. But, as I say, that doesn’t mean Democrats will maintain control, even if those national numbers pertain on election day. It all depends on the contests in individual districts.
Having said all that, I was fascinated by the chart above (from The Washington Monthly Web site), which shows Democrats leading on the generic ballot in three out of four regions of the country — and quite widely in the Northeast.
Even more interestingly, the chart shows that the Republican Party is especially strong only in the South.
Let’s face it, folks: It’s increasingly a regional party.