Why do most rank-and-file Democrats not foresee a GOP takeover of either the House or Senate?
Most professional political pundits are saying that Republicans likely will win control of the U.S. House in the November elections and might win the Senate as well.
Curiously, however, relatively few ordinary Democratic voters see it that way, according to a recent poll. Nor is such peculiar optimism anything new. In 2006, rank-and-file Republican voters were similarly oblivious to the likelihood that their party would suffer big losses in the midterm elections of that year, which is exactly what happened.
Josh Marshall PONDERS this strange disconnect among ordinary partisans.
UPDATE: A new poll released just this morning also shows that few Democratic voters expect the GOP to win control of either house of Congress.
This poll has some other interesting numbers as well — most notably with respect to the generical congressional ballot, which shows a Republican-Democratic tie among likely voters.