A silly theory that Obama will be running against himself next year rather than against a Republican challenger


Republican pollster David Hill has come up with a RIDICULOUS COLUMN in which he argues, in effect, that next year’s presidential election will be about Barack Obama and not about whomever it is the GOP has nominated to run against him.

Near the end of his piece, Hill makes a big deal out of a poll late last year showing that only 42 percent of respondents thought Obama deserved a second term.

But that poll was conducted before Obama’s job-performance ratings got a boost in December and January.

Perhaps more importantly, it also ignores an interesting bit of history: Toward the end of Ronald Reagan’s second year in office, a poll asked Americans whether they thought the Gipper should run for a second term. Thirty-six percent of respondents said yes, while 52 percent said no. But, of course, Reagan did run again — and won in a landslide.

There’s a lot more in Hill’s column that makes little or no sense, but I’ll leave it you to discern those shortcomings for yourself.

UPDATE: A new poll SHOWS that voters are tepid toward Obama, but favor him over any prospective Republican challenger you can name.