Is it wishful thinking to say last night’s debate didn’t much move the needle?
Some of my fellow liberals are more confident than I that Mitt Romney’s domination of the Denver debate — and President’s Obama’s listless performance — won’t have much effect on the polls.
Steve M. over at No More Mister Nice Blog, for example, says this:
“Romney is still a guy with a sleazy reputation. Obama is still a guy most non-wingnuts trust. So I don’t feel as bad today as I did last night.”
Steve cites VARIOUS FACTORS to support his contention, including this:
Obama had built up a bigger cushion than we thought before the debate: Gallup shows him up by 4 over Romney today (that’s averaged over the seven pre-debate days), while his (job-)approval rating (over the three pre-debate days) has leaped to 54 percent.
Meanwhile, Sam Wang, a numbers-cruncher at the Princeton Election Consortium, says THIS:
Seems like Romney did well. Landed some good punches, didn’t look like he was circling the drain. Obama was more natural and got off a few zingers…
It’s not enough to change the basic dynamics. Stalemate. I suspect the race will stay where it is now, maybe narrow by a point. Two points if we believe the pundit reactions. This is not enough for Romney.