Night report: Analyst Nate Silver raises Obama’s chances for Electoral College victory to 80-plus percent
Polling analyst Nate Silver of The New York Times projected tonight that Barack Obama’s chances of re-election now stand at 80.8 percent, the highest level since the president’s decline in the polls after his listless performance in the first of his debates with Mitt Romney four weeks ago.
As recently as Oct. 14, Silver had Obama’s chances at 61.1 percent.
Silver also projected that Obama will garner 303 electoral votes, 33 more than the 270 needed to win.
It should be noted that these numbers are not a prediction. Rather, they are current projections based on a study of virtually all the polls in the various states. The numbers can, and likely will, change between now and Election Day.