Eight days before the recent presidential election, MSNBC morning host and former Republican Congressman Joe Scarborough, lashed out at polling analysts in general and Nate Silver in particular for their claims that President Obama had a solid lead in electoral votes.
“Nate Silver says this is a 73.6 percent chance that the president’s going to win,” Scarborough observed. ”Nobody in [Obama's] campaign thinks they have a 73.6 percent — they think they have a 50.1 percent chance of winning.
…. “Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue [that] they should be kept away from typewriters, computers, laptops, and microphones for the next ten days, because they’re jokes.”
Well, of course, Silver turnout out to be right. The race was never really a tossup, at least not in terms of electoral votes. And now Scarborough is APOLOGIZING TO SILVER:
Joe Scarborough — who called the 2012 election a “dead heat” on Twitter and mocked anyone who would predict how it would turn out — has apologized to the man who correctly called every state for the second presidential race in a row.
In a column on Politico this morning, the “Morning Joe” co-host told Nate Silver he was sorry for doubting the methodology Silver uses on his fivethirtyeight blog.
“I do need to tell Nate I’m sorry for leaning in too hard and lumping him with pollsters whose methodology is as rigorous as the Simpsons’ strip mall physician, Dr. Nick. For those sins (and a multitude of others that I’m sure I don’t even know about), I am sorry,” Scarborough wrote.
Meanwhile, Dan Senor, a former senior adviser to Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, SAYS pollsters who tend to lean to the Republican side are in trouble:
“There is some kind of systemic crisis today in the world of polling, I think particularly on the right-of-center polling. The modeling was way off,” Senor said during an appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
UPDATE: Wow! In no uncertain terms (and with a few vulgarities), Andrew Sullivan says he doesn’t like Scarborough’s apology to Silver.
Check it out HERE.