|

USA Today hires Pew to replace Gallup, whose polls last year weren’t too good

The Gallup Organization, the granddaddy of political polling outfits, has had a tough go of it of late.

When USA Today, the flagship paper of the Gannett chain, dropped Gallup as its pollster last month, there was considerable speculation that the divorce was not exactly a mutual decision, as we see HERE:

If USA Today pulled the plug because it was dissatisfied with Gallup’s polling, then the paper made a wise move. Even though Obama comfortably won reelection by 4 points, Gallup’s final poll showed Romney ahead by 1 point and consistently found Romney winning by a wider margin—as much as 7 points—over the final few weeks of the campaign. The final USA Today/Gallup swing state poll was off by a similar margin, finding a tied race even though Obama easily won 11 of Gallup’s 12 swing states by a combined 4 points. It is worth noting that no other live interview survey contacting cell phones found Romney ahead heading into Election Day. And Gallup’s 2012 failures were not anomalous. Heading into the 2010 midterms, Gallup showed Republicans leading the generic congressional ballot by a staggering 15-point margin, far greater than their eventual 6-point victory. In 2008, Gallup found Obama winning by 11 points, again missing Obama’s 7-point victory by 4 points. In comparison, Pew Research survey struck within one percentage point of the final outcome in the same three elections.

Considering the last line of that excerpt, THIS NEWS should come as no surprise:

 USA TODAY is proud to announce a new collaboration with the Pew Research Center to survey public opinion on the biggest issues facing the nation.

The new USA TODAY/Pew Research Center Poll will debut this week with a look at Americans’ attitudes toward the agenda facing Congress and the priorities outlined by President Obama in his State of the Union address.

“We are excited to announce our new collaboration with Pew Research Center. USA TODAY uses polling to stay in touch with Americans’ views and spark a national conversation about our country’s challenges and the best course forward to meet them. We think it’s important to recognize and explore the diversity of public opinion in the United States,” said Dave Callaway , editor-in-chief of USA TODAY.

“Our new survey with USA TODAY will provide a great opportunity to better understand what the American public thinks about the key political and policy issues of the day,” said Alan Murray , president of the Pew Research Center. “We look forward to working with USA TODAY’s journalists on this new collaboration, which will add to our growing research agenda on the trends shaping America and the world.”

The series of surveys will continue a long tradition at USA TODAY of using national polling to explore the mood of Americans, their assessment of top concerns in their lives and the policies and solutions they support.

Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Pew Research does not take policy positions. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts.

Share:

11 Comments

  1. That’s what I like about polls in America, if they don’t give you what you need get another one!

    Hahahahaha

    Did I mention truth has nothing to do with most polls. It just depends on how the questions are asked.

  2. This is the ninth time that Big Dave has said “Hahahahaha” in his comments. He apparently thinks that constitutes an intelligent argument.

    This is also the umpteenth time Big Dave has demonstrated his ignorance of professional political polling. I’ve tried to explain it to him on previous occasions, but to no avail. He still subscribes to the prevailing wingnut theory that polls are never to be trusted.

  3. Pat, really!

    I wonder then why I can show polls that claim the opposite of the ones you post, so witch ones are correct? I have noted you seem to only believe in the ones that back your political taste and not any other.

    Then Pat you say this;

    “This is also the umpteenth time Big Dave has demonstrated his ignorance of professional political polling.”

    So when you’re getting paid by someone for polling data and that data doesn’t reflect what that person wants so they go to someone else, this is called what? Or is the USA Today claiming they are not paying for the polls? No, I’ll bet that Pew Research promised the results for these polls done by them will be what USA Today wanted.

    What say you Pat!

  4. Dave: Gallup got dumped by USA Today because its polls during last year’s presidential campaign season turned out to be pretty poor. There was no other reason.

    The major media want accuracy in the polls they commission. That’s even true of Fox News. The polls commissioned by Fox often produce results that don’t comport with the political views of O’Reilly, Hannity, et al, but there’s been no good reason to suspect that those results have been inaccurate. Therefore, Fox has not switched to a pollster who produces results that have a right-wing bias. Indeed, Fox actually stopped using polls by Rasmussen last year because the results were skewed to the right.

    Your claim that Pew has promised to produce results that comport with the political views of USA Today is ridiculous.

    As I’ve said before, Dave, you know nothing about the business of scientific polling. Your grasp of the subject is no better than your use of the word “witch” instead of “which” (see your comment above). You’re just not very bright. Hahahaha (as you might say)!

  5. By the way, Dave, one of my favorite bits of nonsense from wingnuts like you is the complaint that polls commissioned by the major media usually have more Democratic respondents than Republicans.

    And it’s true. They do. In fact, every major poll so far this year — including polls commissioned by Fox News — have had more Democratic respondents than Republicans. And there’s a simple reason for that: When a cross-section of Americans are asked for their party affiliations, there are more Democrats than Republicans.

    Some nitwits think it would be more fair if polls covered equal numbers of Democrats and Republicans. But that would skew the overall results. That would be like questioning equal numbers of blacks and whites, or equal numbers of Christians and Jews, or Hispanics and non-Hispanics.

    The only reason polls cover more Democrats than Republican is because there are, in fact, more Democrats. The executives at Fox News understand this. But your average wingnut does not.

  6. One other thing, Big Dave: A few days before the election of this past November, the wingnuts at Breitbart.com had a column in which they argued that most of the mainstream polls were biased and were just plain wrong about the likelihood that Obama would win.

    The piece went into great detail about how the polls were off-base. Some of their arguments reflected the kind of mindset you bring to the subject of polling.

    In retrospect, of course, the Breitbart column is nothing short of hilarious. Check it out here:

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/01/Eight-reasons-Pro-Obama-Polls-Are-Wrong

  7. Pat, please stop crying!

    Since most of this is done over the phone the reason why most polls are not worth the time to print them is this: Calls are received mostly by people not working and wanting handouts and since most of them are democrat you have a problem.

    By the way Pat, stop reading the government media talking points as the media in this country is not worth watching. You can get more accurate information on TMZ.

    But I do have one more question you claim this; “When a cross-section of Americans are asked for their party affiliations, there are more Democrats than Republicans.”

    If that is true Pat then how come you lost the House AGAIN!

    Before I forget, I didn’t call you any names like you called me. Hahahahahaha!

  8. Pat,

    “I wonder then why I can show polls that claim the opposite of the ones you post, so witch ones are correct?”

    Glad you caught this as I thought you’d missed it. It’s called a play on words, have a nice day.

    Hahahahahaha

  9. Big Dave: In the November elections, there were more votes for Democratic House candidates than for Republican candidates. The only reason the Republicans maintained of the House is that district boundaries were gerrymandered after the 2010 census.

    So, all in all, Democratic candidates got more votes in the presidential race, Senate races and House races. People who follow politics closely know this. Apparently, you didn’t.

  10. Pat, I love the way you distort everything.

    “The only reason the Republicans maintained of the House is that district boundaries were gerrymandered after the 2010 census.”

    Like the democrats never do this, right Pat.

    “So, all in all, Democratic candidates got more votes in the presidential race, Senate races and House races. People who follow politics closely know this. Apparently, you didn’t.”

    Again Pat, we could look at how some voters that are democrats voters voted many times or some who should not have voted legally got ballets and voted anyway. But that’s another story for later! But then that wasn’t the question I ask you was it Pat, so again:

    Pat you claimed this; “When a cross-section of Americans are asked for their party affiliations, there are more Democrats than Republicans.”

    My question was this:

    “If that is true Pat then how come you lost the House AGAIN!”

    I never asked which party got the most votes so why did you answer that way? I guess that “self taught education” lead you to misunderstand the question. But I do understand since you are a part of the government media!

  11. Pat, I forgot to add this as I know you will not believe it otherwise.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/02/19/ohio-poll-worker-obama-supporter-investigated-for-potentially-voting-six-times/

    Also from this link:

    “Richardson is one of 19 people suspected of illegal voting by the Hamilton County Board of Elections in the last election.”

    Did I mention she voted democrat!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

CAPTCHA Image

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>