Study refutes NRA claim that people who carry guns are safer than those who don’t


Academics at the University of Pennsylvania tested the National Rifle Association’s theory that gun possession makes people safer than the lack of it.

HERE‘s what they discovered:

They compared 677 cases in which people were injured in a shooting incident with 684 people living in the same area that had not suffered a gun injury. The researchers matched these “controls” for age, race and gender. They found that those with firearms were about 4.5 times more likely to be shot than those who did not carry, utterly belying this oft repeated mantra.

The reasons for this, the authors suggest, are manifold. “A gun may falsely empower its possessor to overreact, instigating and losing otherwise tractable conflicts with similarly armed persons. Along the same lines, individuals who are in possession of a gun may increase their risk of gun assault by entering dangerous environments that they would have normally avoided. Alternatively, an individual may bring a gun to an otherwise gun-free conflict only to have that gun wrested away and turned on them.”

This result is not particularly unexpected. Prof David Hemenway of Harvard school of public health has published numerous academic investigations in this area and found that such claims are rooted far more in myth than fact. While defensive gun use may occasionally occur successfully, it is rare and very much the exception – it doesn’t change the fact that actually owning and using a firearm hugely increases the risk of being shot. This is a finding supported by numerous other studies in health policy, including several articles in the New England Journal of Medicine.  Arguments to the contrary are not rooted in reality; the Branas study also found that for individuals who had time to resist and counter in a gun assault, the odds of actually being shot actually increased to 5.45 fold relative to an individual not carrying.



  1. The problem with those “studies” is that they are bought and paid for propaganda pieces with a carefully selected database. The situation is like comparing the crimes committed by all of a states Concealed Carry permit holders with an equal number of infants.

    Here in the real world, about 0.02, two in one hundred, percent of the public at large will be injured by a firearm over 80 years. Based on Florida’s and Texas’ 1.5 million CCW permit holders, the percentage of CCW permit holders who will be injured by a gun is 0.0002 percent, 100 times less.

    And, while I am looking at data, one Texan in 56 holds a CCW permit. Texas data shows 68,000 convictions, but only 128 of those held a Licence to Carry. And the most common crime was forgetting to take the gun off before they enter a place where alcohol is sold.

    So the bottom line is simple enough. Reasoning from a premise is good for a paycheck form George Soros, but lousy logic.


  2. You should include the follow up study to that, which point out the erroneous methodology.


  3. MrApple

    The person in the picture shooting the Ruger handgun is begging for some serious slide bite. You make that mistake once and then learn a bloody lesson.

  4. Brian Opsahl

    your absolutely correct, he or she will only do that once..

  5. MrApple

    Lessons to take from the study:
    1. Be a good victim, you probably deserve it.
    2. Even a 1% chance of defending yourself isn’t worth the time and effort of taking your self-defense into your own hands.
    3. “A gun may falsely empower its possessor… [and cause] “an individual [to] bring a gun to an otherwise gun-free conflict…” Firearms have the ability to take over the minds of people and cause the individual to commit acts of crime and violence. Just as cars cause vehicular accidents, pencils cause misspelled words, spoons cause obesity, and matches cause arson.

  6. Brian Opsahl

    My weapons bring me and my brothers together for weekends with our kids and wives. We spend time together that would probably not have happened without the competition of target shooting American style. Burgers hotdogs and yes AR15s bring us together.

    I’m proud to brag on my brothers service to our Nation,one a MP Marine and now a 20 year policemen,serving his Country and now his community.

    The other is still serving as a LT,Colonel in Kuwait coming home soon.

    We all agree that we need some kind of registration that yes, will track your purchase of assault style weapons that i enjoy so much…why not America…?

  7. I’ll see your 677 cases and raise you over 2,000,000 annually (est) the number of people that stop crime dead and never fire a shot. Sorry but you lose try again.

  8. MrApple

    In my humble opinion, registration is merely a prelude to confiscation. There is plenty of historical precedent of this happening during the 20th Century. JPFO has put together an excellent chart displaying the inhumanity that can and has been heaped upon mankind by their “benevolent” governments.

  9. I wonder if the “researchers” included criminals carrying guns in their study.

  10. TheDaywalkersdad

    I’d like to see more about this study. It seems like I’ve seen something similar promoted in the past. If I remember correctly, the other research had about the same results. This is what they did.
    They included criminals in the research.
    As these criminals were armed and going about their usual felonious business, it wasn’t hard to find a few that were killed while carrying a weapon.
    I don’t know what methods were used in the study cited in the article above but I would really like to know if they were using law abiding CCW holders or criminals, gang bangers, muggers and rapists.
    BTW, defensive uses of firearms are not rare.

  11. truth hurts


    Sorry applesauce but again epic fail.

    One study who’s facts can easily be discredited does not make your case in any way shape or form.

    There are multiple studies with concrete facts that states where people can carry concealed weapons crime has gone down.

    Before you claim fox news or some other bull cookies one source is Dept of Justice, FBI, and individual state police reports.

    Not to mention pages and pages of stories of people who have stopped crimes using guns. You know such stories as the lady (protecting her baby) who stopped a knife wielding man who broke into her trailer the night after her husbands funeral?

    Other such stories a simple internet search finds but the main stream press and you refuse to publish?

    Opps did I burst your bubble of propaganda with the needle of facts again?

    Don’t worry you can still put out another rant to make you feel better.
    Won’t change the facts but you will feel better.

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