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Evidence suggests that political polls tend to undercount Democrats

Republicans have complained from time to time that polls are biased against them, but now there’s evidence that the opposite might actually be the case. It could be that many of the major polling outfits are undercounting Democrats. Nate Cohn has a long piece on this matter HERE: Polls show that the Republicans have an advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. They lead in enough states to win control, and they have additional opportunities in North Carolina and New Hampshire to make up for potential upsets. As Election Day...

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Friendly tip to creationists: Believe what you want, but don’t say evolution is just a theory

When Pope Francis mentioned his belief in the theory of evolution the other day, the story got more play in the media than it probably deserved. Francis is not the first pope to express such sentiments, and Catholic schools have been teaching Darwinism for many years. But at least the prominence afforded the pope’s remarks served the useful purpose of reminding the world that not all Christians subscribe to the theory of young earth creationism, the belief that the world was created in six days about 6,000 years ago. Now, you may have...

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Does more widespread education lead to less religion? Not necessarily

The widespread notion that an increase in a person’s level of education inevitably leads to a decline in religious fervor is challenged HERE: Globally, we’ve seen a massive rise in education, without a uniform change in religious beliefs. In 1970, only about 40 percent of children worldwide enrolled in secondary education; four decades later, the rate had climbed to 73 percent. In developing nations, the increases have been substantial: In sub-Saharan Africa, enrollment rates have grown from 13 percent to 41 percent. In Pakistan, the average...

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Does either party have momentum going into the mid-term elections?

George H.W. Bush called it “the Big Mo” and  saw it  as a portent of his eventual victory in the presidential election of 1988. He was referring, of course, to his feeling that momentum was on his side as Election Day drew near. But, while Bush’s sense of momentum was correct, there have been other instances where Big Mo was just an illusion. For example, Mitt Romney and more than a few of his supporters thought that momentum was on his side at this point  two years ago. They were wrong. As this year’s mid-term U.S. ...

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Highly-respected medical journal says broad Ebola quarantines do more harm than good

As you’ve no doubt heard by now, the governors of several states have imposed 21-day quarantines on health care workers returning to America from regions where they may have cared for patients with Ebola virus disease. This strategy probably is politically popular, but it’s strongly opposed by most medical experts, including editors of the  estimable New England Journal of Medicine, who say it’s ” like driving a carpet tack with a sledgehammer: it gets the job done but overall is more destructive than...

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Fox News peddles blatant falsehood about so-called voter fraud

Fox News Channel has long been the ratings leader among cable news outlets — mainly because it knows how to rile its core audience, which consists mostly of viewers who are at least 69 years old. The formula is simple: Give the gullible geezers a steady of diet of stuff that will anger them even more than the kids who are always playing in their yards. A perfect example was afforded the other day by Fox anchor Megyn Kelly (above),  who told her viewers that Democratic officials in Colorado have come up with a dastardly scheme that...

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