America’s worst political forecaster says Ted Cruz likely will win the White House

  Relax, folks. You need not worry that Ted Cruz, the right-wing extremist who won the Republican caucuses in Iowa the other night, will go on to capture the presidency. That now seems all but impossible. My confidence in this matter arises from the fact that Dick Morris, a former pundit on Fox News Channel, is predicting that Cruz seems a good bet to win his bid for the White House. You see, Morris is a notoriously bad political prognosticator. He’s so bad that Fox fired him a few years ago for his utter incompetence as a pundit....

read more

On several counts, Cruz victory in Iowa caucuses is good news for Democrats

    As if by magic, Iowa Republicans made the worst possible choice the winner of the party’s presidential caucuses last night. The victory for Ted Cruz was doubly delicious in that he finished ahead of the loony Donald Trump. The Democrats could hardly have asked for better results. Cruz is widely detested among GOP leaders. Almost all of his Republican colleagues in the U.S. Senate hate him. He’s an unapologetic extremist. He makes Trump seem like Theodore Roosevelt. He is utterly charmless and holds little appeal...

read more

Iowa’s system of presidential caucuses is beyond stupid

  Is there anything in American politics more ludicrous than the importance we attribute to the Iowa presidential caucuses? Don’t bother thinking about that one. The answer is no. Even if the caucuses in the Hawkeye State were conducted fairly — which they decidedly are not — it would be ridiculous to consider them potentially important in the races for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominations. But they are so considered. Where else do votes cast in certain precincts count for more than votes cast in...

read more

Who will win the Iowa caucuses? Disclose your picks at this window

    At this writing, the weather forecast for Iowa on Monday seems likely to support at least a decent turnout for the Democratic and Republican presidential caucuses. My predictions are as follows: On the Republican side, Donald Trump will fairly easily defeat Ted Cruz. The big surprise will be a somewhat strong third-place finish by Jeb Bush, which will revive his previously flagging candidacy. Some of the other GOP hopefuls will drop out of the race later in the week, and more still will quit after the New Hampshire primary...

read more

Will GOP nominate Trump? Or will it be Cruz? Either way is fine with me

    As a lifelong devout liberal, it doesn’t really matter much to me whether Republicans choose Donald Trump or Ted Cruz as their presidential nominee this year. If it’s either one of those kooks, the GOP is going to lose in November. If Republicans opt instead for one of their other candidates…well, I may not be quite so confident that the Democrats will win. But it seems to me that the GOP is doomed if Trump or Cruz is at the top of the ticket. What makes me so confident? For one thing, I expect Hillary Clinton...

read more

Despite his Hispanic surname, Ted Cruz misinterprets a Spanish term

      You’ve heard by now, no doubt, that Donald Trump is reluctant to participate in tomorrow night’s Republican debate on the Fox News Channel if Megyn Kelly is one of the moderators. The Donald says Kelly was unfair to him when she mentioned at a previous debate that he has a penchant for saying nasty, sexist things about women. But that’s not the subject at hand here. Rather, my focus is something Ted Cruz said yesterday. He invited Trump to a two-man debate, and he did so with a popular misuse of a...

read more