Democrats are emulating the Republican Party’s politics of grievance

As the midterm elections draw nearer, Democrats these days are borrowing a page from their Republican rivals by stoking the fires of partisan resentment — the better to boost turnout at the ballot box. The Dems employed a similar strategy in 2012, and with considerable success. But the challenge is greater this year because of prospects for a lighter turnout of voters, as James Oliphant explains HERE: That has forced the party to find reasons for people to come out and vote, and they’ve selected issues that target slices of the...

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Nate Silver sees Dick Durbin as 95-percent likely to win re-election to the Senate

Nate Silver, the best political numbers-cruncher in the business, sees only one chance in 20 that Republican challenger  Jim Oberweis will unseat Democratic incumbent Sen. Dick Durbin of Illinois in the November election. Silver also rates Republicans as a “slight favorite” to win control of the Senate. Beltway pundits generally give the GOP a more likely chance to take over the upper chamber of Congress. But, of course, the election is still more than seven months away. Lots of things can change over that span of time....

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Can Democrats paint Dixie blue?

Scott Arceneaux SAYS the answer to the question above is yes: Often you need to hit bottom before you can start working your way back up. We Southern Democrats are basically at that point. With control of only two of 22 legislative bodies, three of 11 governors’ mansions and precious few other statewide offices, Southern Democrats are an endangered species indeed. In 1969, Republican strategist Kevin Phillips argued that the South was “shaping up as the pillar of a national conservative party.” He was half right: Although Democrats have made...

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How John Boehner saved the Democrats from having their own civil war

For once, House Speaker John Boehner  has a good reason to shed a few tears. Alex Seitz-Wald EXPLAINS: While there are plenty of forces working against Democrats heading into this year’s election, one thing party strategists say they do have going for them is unity, especially compared with the fractious Republican coalition. There’s only one competitive Democratic Senate primary this year (in Hawaii, a state expected to vote blue regardless), and apart from a few lower-profile issues such as education policy and trade, Democrats...

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Do Republicans understand the demographic disaster their party is facing?

In politics, as in certain other matters, demography is destiny. That’s why THIS STUFF from neoconservative analyst Peter Wehner is more important than almost anything you might read about the daily goings-on the political world. A few excerpts: In the 2012 presidential election, Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 126 electoral votes (332 to Romney’s 206) and won the popular vote by nearly 5 million. Mr. Obama is the first president to achieve the 51 percent mark in two elections since President Eisenhower and the first Democrat to do...

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