Most reputable polling analysts see a decline in GOP chances of a Senate takeover

As recently as July, the Republican Party was an odds-on favorite to gain control of the U.S. Senate in this year’s mid-term elections. Some professional handicappers still think it’s likely that the GOP will win a majority of Senate seats, but there is far less certainty in their recent forecasts. Take, for example, what celebrated number-cruncher Nate Silver is SAYING: When we officially launched our forecastg model two weeks ago, it had Republicans with a 64 percent chance of taking over the Senate after this fall’s elections....

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Ted Cruz’s daddy presumes to educate black folks on the history of civil rights legislation

For years now, I’ve occasionally been treated to distorted arguments from conservative readers who want to remind me that Democrats were the prevailing political force in the segregationist South of 50 years ago. These pseudo-historians ignore the fact that most of the segregationist politicians in the South — Sen. Strom Thurmond of South Carolina, for example — switched to the Republican Party when Northern Democrats began pushing for civil rights. They also ignore the fact that the GOP, under Richard Nixon, pointedly...

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Study shows a political shift of sorts as more people move from blue states to red states

The political map of America never stays the same for very long. Attitudes change, and people move around, resulting in different blends of Republican red and Democratic blue in the various states. HERE‘s a look at the changes of late: Over the last few decades, residents of many traditionally liberal states have moved to states that were once more conservative. And this pattern has played an important role in helping the Democratic Party win the last two presidential elections and four of the last six. The growth of the Latino...

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Poll: Approval of Congress hits new low, but it’s worse for Republicans than Democrats

As things stand now, the consensus among the political cognoscenti is that Republicans likely will make at least a few gains in this year’s mid-term elections. But THIS suggests to me that Democrats might hold their own if they play their cards right: The number of Americans who approve of their own representative in Congress has reached an all-time low, according to a poll released Tuesday. In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, 51 percent of Americans said that they disapprove of the way their member of Congress is “handling his or her...

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Study shows that U.S. economy does better under Democratic presidents

Don’t share THIS with your Republican friends. It will only confuse them: For the past half-century, the US economy has consistently grown faster under Democratic presidents than under Republican ones. And in a new study, two economists ask whether there’s a reason for that — or if it’s all just a coincidence. The numbers are pretty clear on this. Between 1947 and 2012, the US economy grew at an average real annual rate of 4.35 percent during Democratic administrations and just 2.54 percent during Republican ones. The gap...

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