This guy argues that Democrats shouldn’t give up on the South

The conventional political wisdom these days is that “the Solid South,” as it was called for decades when Democrats dominated the region, has become irreversibly Republican. But Harry Enten of FiveThirtyEight.com BEGS TO DIFFER: There are a few problems with the argument that “the South is lost.” Democrats are arguably doing their best in at least 20 years in three of the five most populous southern states. President Obama won Florida two consecutive times. In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to win in...

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Because of civil rights, the Democrats’ once ‘Solid South’ is all but completely gone

In the seven years I’ve been writing this blog, I’ve occasionally received comments from conservative readers who love to point out that racial segregation in America was fostered in large part for many years by Democrats. I suppose these people believe they’re making some deliciously snarky point, but they’re not. On the contrary, they’re only giving me an opening to point out that the segregationist South, which was once solidly Democratic, gradually switched to the Republican Party when Northern Democrats...

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Poll: Republican control of Congress bad for America

A new CNN poll released this morning has BAD NEWS for both political parties, especially the GOP: According to the survey, 50 percent of Americans believe the GOP taking control of the House and the Senate next year will be bad for America, and 52 percent expect it to lead to more gridlock. Another 37 percent, however, expect to see no difference in the levels of gridlock in Congress. But Americans seem to believe the GOP should be the ones to budge. Sixty-eight percent of Americans polled say the GOP isn’t cooperating enough with...

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Evidence suggests that political polls tend to undercount Democrats

Republicans have complained from time to time that polls are biased against them, but now there’s evidence that the opposite might actually be the case. It could be that many of the major polling outfits are undercounting Democrats. Nate Cohn has a long piece on this matter HERE: Polls show that the Republicans have an advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. They lead in enough states to win control, and they have additional opportunities in North Carolina and New Hampshire to make up for potential upsets. As Election Day...

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Does either party have momentum going into the mid-term elections?

George H.W. Bush called it “the Big Mo” and  saw it  as a portent of his eventual victory in the presidential election of 1988. He was referring, of course, to his feeling that momentum was on his side as Election Day drew near. But, while Bush’s sense of momentum was correct, there have been other instances where Big Mo was just an illusion. For example, Mitt Romney and more than a few of his supporters thought that momentum was on his side at this point  two years ago. They were wrong. As this year’s mid-term U.S. ...

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