Supply Management Monthly Report on Manufacturing Activity
Add comment August 5th, 2008
One of the better monthly reports on the health of the manufacturing sector is the Institute of Supply Management’s monthly reports. It is a monthly survey of purchasing managers and surveys various indicators such as new orders, production, etc. It cut across several key industries and then an index is calculated that indicates growth, unchanged or declining. It is issued the first day of each month and is available free (see below for the link). Here is the front end excerpts from the latest report issued last Friday….
“Economic activity in the manufacturing sector was unchanged in July, while the overall economy grew for the 81st consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.
The report was issued today by Norbert J. Ore, C.P.M., chair of the Institute for Supply Managementâ„¢ Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. “In this month’s report, manufacturers indicate no change in overall business activity when comparing July to June. This continues a trend biased toward relatively minor contraction established more than 12 months ago. Manufacturing has maintained a reasonable level of activity during a period in which other sectors of the economy have been in recession. While the PMI indicates little to no change has occurred during this period, it would be hard to convince manufacturers who are faced with higher costs and uncertain demand that there is little change taking place.”
PERFORMANCE BY INDUSTRY
The six industries reporting growth in July — listed in order — are: Computer & Electronic Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Primary Metals; Paper Products; and Chemical Products. The industries reporting contraction in July are: Plastics & Rubber Products; Wood Products; Transportation Equipment; Printing & Related Support Activities; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Machinery; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; and Fabricated Metal Products.
WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING …
- “Our company has gone to a four-day/10-hour week in an effort to curtail energy costs for the company and for employees.” (Transportation Equipment)
- “Competitive market forces are preventing companies from boosting prices high enough to recover raw material input costs.” (Plastics & Rubber Products)
- “All automotive manufacturers (especially trucks) are down significantly.” (Fabricated Metal Products)
- “It is almost impossible to keep up with the complexity of never-ending price movement.” (Chemical Products)
- “We have had two large projects cancelled that we believe are solely due to the uncertain economy.” (Machinery)
| MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE JULY 2008 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | Series Index July |
Series Index June |
Percentage Point Change |
Direction | Rate of Change |
Trend* (Months) |
| PMI | 50.0 | 50.2 | -0.2 | Unchanged | From Growing | 1 |
| New Orders | 45.0 | 49.6 | -4.6 | Contracting | Faster | 8 |
| Production | 52.9 | 51.5 | +1.4 | Growing | Faster | 3 |
| Employment | 51.9 | 43.7 | +8.2 | Growing | From Contracting | 1 |
| Supplier Deliveries | 55.1 | 55.1 | 0 | Slowing | Same | 13 |
| Inventories | 45.0 | 51.2 | -6.2 | Contracting | From Growing | 1 |
| Customers’ Inventories | 47.0 | 55.0 | -8.0 | Too Low | From Too High | 1 |
| Prices | 88.5 | 91.5 | -3.0 | Increasing | Slower | 19 |
| Backlog of Orders | 43.0 | 47.5 | -4.5 | Contracting | Faster | 3 |
| Exports | 54.0 | 58.5 | -4.5 | Growing | Slower | 68 |
| Imports | 46.5 | 46.0 | +0.5 | Contracting | Slower | 6 |
| OVERALL ECONOMY | Growing | Faster | 81 | |||
| Manufacturing Sector | Unchanged | From Growing | 1 | |||
Read the rest of this latest report and see how it correlates to your business.
