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The U.S. unemployment rate remains a bogus statistic

According to Friday’s labor report in the Washington Post, the U.S. unemployment rate fell 0.1% to 7.6% in March, but it wasn’t due the number of jobs being created.

The lower unemployment statistic was primarily due to another 496,000 workers who dropped out of the workforce, almost six times the number of jobs created (88,000), far below even the level needed to keep pace with population growth assuming the jobs created statistic is confirmed.

Economists had anticipated 200,000 new jobs being created during this so-called recovery. However, the size of the workforce actually fell to a new 30-year low.

A November 2012 post on that month’s workforce loss explains in greater detail how the unemployment statistics are bogus.

With 206,000 fewer people reported having a job, the proportion of Americans currently working actually decreased, proving the unemployment statistic is meaningless, until all the variables in the calculation are explained.

The Administration, as usual is not at fault. The Obama administration is, of course, blaming sequestration, because the federal government will only spend $25 billion more next year, instead of $68 billion more.

Excerpt:

If there is even the slightest element of sequester terror to these job numbers, who could be held more at fault than Barack Obama, who employed a deliberate strategy of magnifying public anxiety over sequestration, and trimming federal operations in the most painful manner he could devise?

The unemployment rate, when considered singularly, is a bogus statistic. It doesn’t present the total picture of the economic recovery and when it can’t be explained away, the Obama administration has now made sequestration the culprit.

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37 Comments

  1. If the current administration found a cure for cancer and heart disease you would complain that it would hurt our physicians and hospitals.

  2. @ Steverino.

    Had the number of workers being counted now been the same as when Obama was elected, the TRUE unemployment numbers would have exceeded 11%. If you use the same numbers from last year, the unemployment rate would still exceed 8%.

    As a “cure”, Obamunism is equivalent to amputating a leg to cure a hangnail.

  3. Steve,

    The current administration hasn’t found a cure for chronic unemployment or anemic economic growth. That’s fact, not speculation.

    The U3 unemployment rate has its flaws and we have seen them exposed during the Obama recovery. Creating jobs is not the only way to lower the unemployment rate. Discourage enough people to quit looking for work and you get the rate to drop also. I read that almost 9,000,000 people have left the wrokforce during the past four years. That’s a lot more than the number of jobs created. Also, that doesn’t count the impact on population growth.

    Obama has had the worse economic recovery out of the 11 since WW2 and he should have had the best since he was leading an economy out of the worse recession since WW2.

    http://johnbtaylorsblog.blogspot.com/2012/05/more-evidence-on-what-is-holding.html

    What we have seen is what a gov’t centered economic recovery as opposed to the economic recovery of the 1980′s (also after a deep recession) which was centered around the citizens thru supply-side tax cuts.

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203718504577181073385102022.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

  4. Wilson

    Hey we have good news as the deficit is shrinking
    “In his weekly radio address, President Obama explained the budget he’ll rollout next week, and said, “the truth is, our deficits are already shrinking.”
    Just don’t look at the debt.
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/obama-truth-our-deficits-are-already-shrinking_714619.html

  5. gowader

    Steverino,

    I think you are missing the point here. All the Obama administration has done since he was elected is give false hope. Obama has always wanted people to trust him, so he could take care of their problems. And in reality, he has only postponed the problems by borrowing and printing money. And the whole time manipulating data, showing people that it is working.
    The hard reality is that the US is still in a depression, with millions of people out of work. And those lucky enough to find work, are paid minimum wage. Obama is preying on those who choose not to think for themselves.

  6. Todd A

    Considering that by all legitimate measures, fewer jobs have been lost and more created during Obama’s term than during Bush’s first 4 years it seems there is a cure for chronic unemployment…………….never elect another republican to any office. That includes local, supposed non-partisian positions. Those positions are usually stepping stones to higher office and we need to keep the republicans out of them so they can’t foul up later down the road.

    In short, don’t let a republican even be elected dog catcher.

    gowader, how much of that spending over the last 4 years was in the form of new spending due to policies authorized by the current administration? How much of that is due to a war that has been waging since 2001? The fact is, new spending initiated by the President is far lower than that of his predecessor.

    • Ted Biondo

      Todd A – The country is the fifth year of the Obama administration – How long can you Democrats blame Bush for Obama’s lousy performance?

  7. Todd,

    And more all legimate measures more people have left teh workforce during the Obama administration than the Bush administration.

    And more all legimate measures Bush’s U3 monthly unemployment averaged 5.3%. What’s Obama’s?

    Obama has been in office for over 4 years now, the spending is his. These trillion dollare deficits are his. He had a democratic Congress the first two years and could have ended all the war spending, but choose not to. “It’s Bush’s fault” doesn’t play anymore.

    A bit of advice from Abe Lincoln – “It is better to remain silent and be thought a fool then to open one’s mouth and remove all doubt.” Words you should live by.

  8. Ted, that’s easy…Democrats never take responsibility for any of their many failures. Instead, they sidestep with ridiculous noise ….see Steveerinos comment above.

  9. They just keep moving people from unemployment to permanent disability. Why is that never talked about? I’ve never seen so many healthy looking people with handicap placards. It used to be called middle-aged.

  10. truth hurts

    Sigh

    There is a saying in Alcoholics and Narcotics Anonimus that applies to this (as well as many other) situations in life.

    Untill you admit the problem you CANNOT work on the solution.

    In direct application here you cannot work on a solution if you do not admit the FACTS.

    The unemployment figure (as well as housing prices, housing available, forclosures, business failures, debt, ect) are all so blatently doctored it makes the books from mob business look legit.

    However one does not even need to research the figures on line, go to the gov website to see how its calculated, or those on foodstamps (all of it is SO EASY even a child with an internet connection can do it in seconds).

    All one has to do is OPEN ONES EYES around your town. Look at all the people at unemployment office, all the closed businesses, and the lines at job fairs/when business are hiring to see how many are unemployed.

    In other words common sense.

    I like to leave with this true story that sums up the whole thing about the cooked unemployment and economic “improvement” (exucse me had to stop gaging over that) obama supporters say.

    A girlfriend was working at a flight service station and as part of her duties had to call in weather observations to the main station for the region.

    ON one report she reported rain.

    The main station manager argued for 5 minutes how according to his charts, radar, temp, ect that there was no way it was possible to be raining there.

    Her response (on a recorded line) was classic and funny. “Well I just stuck my head out to look and its wet”.

  11. monkey

    Ted’s regular posts on this topic always make me laugh. The unemployment numbers are only bogus during the Obama Adminstration and only when the number goes DOWN. I don’t recall Ted writing this column when the number went UP. And, the unemployment figure during GWB’s term, and any other Repub president, was a legit statistic but they’ve only started cooking the books since Obama took office. Right.

    • Ted Biondo

      Unemployment is bogus all the time unless all variables are considered, and the media ignore the other variables – that’s why I don’t. The media was always there against Bush. That may explain why I didn’t need to do so, monkey

  12. Todd A

    Terry, it has become painfully clear that you haven’t the slightest idea how government works or how budgets come to be.

    All presidentss have signed bills that have then become law. LAW, that is the key word there. Once something is a law it takes another law to undue unless it has a sunset clause. Some funding of some of those laws is mandatory as stipulated by the law itself. That means that there is funding of laws going on that the person in office at any given time has no control over unless congress acts to repeal it. Wars and things like No Child Left behind are prime examples.

    So if you are really that obtuse as to claim that Obama is responsible for ALL of the current spending I really have no idea how to get it through your skull. Rest assured, I am NOT saying that this is the first time this has happened, far from it. All presidents have had to deal with it, just not on the scale that the current administration has to.

  13. Todd A

    Oh yeah, Terry. You should take Abe’s advice.

    Time and time again when presented with facts you continue to prove that they don’t matter to you. You will make up your own reality to suit your opinions and beliefs. Just another delusional conservative.

  14. ToddA sez: “All presidentss have signed bills that have then become law. LAW, that is the key word there. Once something is a law it takes another law to undue unless it has a sunset clause. ”

    So, why is the Obama regime allowed to ignore DOMA (Defense Of Marriage Act), which was a legally-passed law?

  15. Todd A

    And there we have the attempt to change the subject.

    What took you so long? You had to have known your buds were in trouble with all this truth I am handing out.

    But since you brought it up. The SCOTUS is deciding the fate of that law right now. I guess you could liken it to be released pending appeal. When it is finally decided once and for all, I’m sure the Justice Dept will act accordingly.

    Snuss you surprise me sometimes. (mock surprise) Remember some GOP governors who said that they will not implement provisons of the ACA even though the SC ruled it constitutional upon appeal? Or how about counties and states publicly stating that tehy will not enforce new firearms laws if enacted?

    Are you just as pissed about that?

  16. Brian Opsahl

    Carefull Todd,your about to be called a nazi, thats how these guys operate when they are losing an argument. Ive seen it they get real ugly when backed into the corner with factual information. especially nuss…!!

  17. Adam Faber

    Snuss, Obama is not ignoring DOMA. Indeed, his administration is still enforcing DOMA until SCOTUS rules on the issue. Perhaps what you are referring to is the administration’s position that the law is unconstitutional and they have declined to defend the law. During oral arguments, Chief Justice Roberts asked why the administration would continue to enforce a law they suspected to be unconstitutional. The answer is because it is their obligation and they are doing it. But nice try.

  18. Brian,

    I won’t call Todd a Nazi, just uniformed.

    Todd – in order to have bills signed into law, they must be first passed by Congress. Obama had in 2009-10 a Congress at his beck and call. For part of that time, he had 60 democratic or socialist senators – enough to stop any filibuster.

    He could have repeal NCLB. He could have eliminated the Bush tax cuts sooner. He could have ended the wars. Instead, he piddled away those first two years on Obamacare, which will raise the deficit over time.

    So Todd – when do you think Obama becomes responsible for the deficits, the debt, and unemployment – in general, this anemic economy?

  19. Wilson

    So Adam, what do you know that we don’t?

    “WASHINGTON — President Obama, in a striking legal and political shift, has determined that the Defense of Marriage Act — the 1996 law that bars federal recognition of same-sex marriages — is unconstitutional, and has directed the Justice Department to stop defending the law in court, the administration said Wednesday.”
    “Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. announced the decision in a letter to members of Congress. In it, he said the administration was taking the extraordinary step of refusing to defend the law, despite having done so during Mr. Obama’s first two years in the White House.”

    this from the right-wing newspaper the nytimes.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/24/us/24marriage.html?_r=0

  20. Adam Faber

    Wilson,

    I understand the difference between defending the law in court and enforcing the law. And that’s a big difference.

  21. Adam Faber

    Wilson,

    Yes, that is exactly correct. Are you still missing the distinction between enforce and defend?

    “Buchanan said in a mailer that the Obama administration ‘would no longer enforce the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA).’ The Obama administration said in February 2011 it would no longer defend the law in the courts. But the HRC cites examples that enforcement continues — for example, gay couples can’t file their taxes jointly. We found legal experts who made arguments on both sides about whether not defending DOMA in the courts equals not enforcing it.

    If Buchanan had said that Obama would no longer ‘defend’ DOMA he’d be on safe ground, but he chose ‘enforce’ instead. The Obama administration is enforcing the law to some extent, such as forbidding joint tax returns or survivors’ benefits in Social Security for gay couples. Still, there’s clear evidence that the Obama administration is seeking to mitigate the law’s effects. We rate this claim Half True.”

  22. “Enforce” or “Defend” is a difference without a distinction. If the Obama regime does not pursue legal action (enforce) based on the law (DOMA), these officials are violating their oath of office by failing to defend the use of a legally-enacted law. The Executive branch isn’t allowed to pick and choose the Constitutionality of the laws. That is the job of the courts.

  23. Todd A

    Snuss, you mean you don’t know the difference between “enforce” and “defend”.

    Tell me please how would you enforce the United States? I know our military defends it on a daily basis but enforce…………not so much.

  24. Don R. Gugliuzza

    How interesting that Republicans attack the President for not creating more jobs. Is this the same party that has refused to deliberate or vote on the jobs bills that he submitted to the House over 2 years ago? What a nice position for the Republicans to be in. They caused the problem, refuse to do anything to correct it, propose legislation that would make it worse and then blame the Democrat President for the problem. Only in Republican politics can we find something so ridiculous.

  25. Adam Faber

    Snuss, the distinction between enforce and defend is easily articulable.

    In this case, the IRS is collecting $363,000 in estate taxes from Edith Windsor because, under DOMA, they cannot recognize her marriage. If the Obama administration were not enforcing the law, the IRS would not be collecting this money.

    Since I have demonstrated that the Obama administration is enforcing the law and how that is distinguished from their arguments in court, your argument that the administration is ignoring DOMA fails.

    • Ted Biondo

      DOMA, as explained to me, is that the federal law was passed, so one state that recognizes same sex marriage can’t force a reciprocal agreement with another state that doesn’t recognize same sex marriage, if the partners move into that state. I didn’t think that DOMA forces anything, it just lets those states who believe a marriage is between a man and a woman, to continue to do so. It doesn’t force the states to do anything except honor the state law on marriage.

  26. Adam Faber

    Yes, that’s section two, Ted. Section three is the part of DOMA that has been found unconstitutional by eight federal courts and is now before SCOTUS in United States v. Windsor. This section precludes the federal government from recognizing same sex marriages that are legal in any state. This is why Ms. Windsor was unable to inherit her spouse’s estate without paying inheritance taxes and sought judicial relief. That the IRS is still trying to collect these taxes proves my point that the government is still enforcing DOMA which means that Snuss was simply incorrect when he said the Obama administration is ignoring DOMA. To further aver that enforcing a law — any law — is somehow indistinguishable from defending its constitutionality in court is pure silliness.

  27. Todd,

    Backing away from the discussion? “So Todd – when do you think Obama becomes responsible for the deficits, the debt, and unemployment – in general, this anemic economy?”

    Don,

    “Is this the same party that has refused to deliberate or vote on the jobs bills that he submitted to the House over 2 years ago?” No. This is the party that passed 20 job bills out of teh House and never saw the light of day in Harry Reid’s Senate.

    “They caused the problem, refuse to do anything to correct it, propose legislation that would make it worse and then blame the Democrat President for the problem. Only in Republican politics can we find something so ridiculous.” – Not exactly which problem of Obama’s you are talking about – anemic economic growth, high unemployment or trillion dollar deficits? Can you be more specific?

  28. wilson

    “The administration can spin its ‘recovery’ any way it wants. But working families can’t pay their bills with data about the gross domestic product. They need the income from steady employment. And when it comes to employment, the administration has compiled the worst record since the Great Depression. …

    The jobs picture is far more harrowing than it is usually presented by the media. Despite modest wage increases for those who are working, the unemployment rate is 7.7 percent, which represents almost nine million people. Millions more have become discouraged and left the labor market. And there are millions of men and women who are employed but working significantly fewer hours than they’d like.”

  29. Wilson,

    If the labor participation rate was where it was at in January, 2009, the U3 unemployment rate would be about 10%

  30. On another subject, the Leftist gun-grabbing has begun:

    Despite promises from the president and a host of other politicians who are pushing for more gun control that nobody is coming for your guns, the confiscation of guns and gun permits has apparently started in some form in New York State.

    One attorney representing several people who have been forced to surrender their guns spoke with The Blaze and alerted us to some disturbing facts:

    Gun owners are losing their 2nd Amendment rights without due process.
    HIPAA Laws are likely being compromised and the 4th and 5th Amendments are being violated in some of these cases

    How did confiscation start happening so quickly? Apparently the gun grabbing was triggered by something inside the NY SAFE Act — New York’s new gun law — that has a provision apparently mandating confiscation of weapons and permits if someone has been prescribed psychotropic drugs.

    The Case:

    On April 1st, a legal gun owner in upstate New York reportedly received an official notice from the state ordering him to surrender any and all weapons to his local police department. The note said that the person’s permit to own a gun in New York was being suspended as well. The gun owner contacted attorney Jim Tresmond (a specialist in gun laws in New York) and the two visited the local police precinct.

    Mr. Tresmond reportedly went into the precinct and informed the officers that his client, waiting in the parking lot, was coming in to voluntarily surrender his weapons as requested. The local police were aware of the letter because they had already been contacted by the State Police. Apparently, if people do not respond to the initial mailing, local law enforcement is authorized to visit the gun owner at their home and demand the surrender of the firearms. In this case, the gun owner followed the request as written. The guns and permits were handed over and a receipt given to the client.

    After the guns were turned over, a request for a local hearing was filed and the gun owner is expecting to have his Second Amendment rights restored. But there is more to this story.

    Read the rest at: http://www.nowtheendbegins.com/blog/?p=13677

  31. truth hurts

    I love the comment “no one complained under bush” on unemployment numbers.

    Well funny thing was the main stream press sure as heck called him out on it.

    Just not obama.

    One other fact to those obama supporters.

    If one takes the reasonable view that unemployment numbers are (at the very least) are only 50 percent of the true number one interesting and unpleasant fact against obama number.

    Under bush I believe the number was 4 percent. If you double that it would be 8 percent.

    Obamas stated figure now is listed at 7.5 percent (at best depending).

    So bush’s adjusted number of 8 percent ONLY SLIGHTLY beats obamas 7.5 percent which safely is 50% of true (which would be 15% for the democratically mathmatically challenged).

    For the record I thought bush was an economically stupid person in the last two years of his presidency….which is when everything went south and THE DEMOCRATS WERE IN CHARGE of senate and house.

    So tell me again liberals how after 5 years its still bushes fault or obama is doing better?

    Facts suck dont they

    Let the liberal child tantrums/tactics fly…I got my popcorn ready for the entertainment

  32. Truth, it was actually Bush, no there isn’t much MSM calling Obama out in fact everything is rosy.
    “Brutal, but from 2003:

    The administration can spin its ‘recovery’ any way it wants. But working families can’t pay their bills with data about the gross domestic product. They need the income from steady employment. And when it comes to employment, the Bush administration has compiled the worst record since the Great Depression. …

    The jobs picture is far more harrowing than it is usually presented by the media. Despite modest wage increases for those who are working, the unemployment rate is 6.1 percent, which represents almost nine million people. Millions more have become discouraged and left the labor market. And there are millions of men and women who are employed but working significantly fewer hours than they’d like.

    This is an excerpt from a column written by Bob Herbert, a New York Times journalist and columnist. Herbert wrote the column in 2003 (he left the Times in 2011) when George W. Bush was president.

    Bush inherited a recession from Clinton and had been in office less than three years. Barack Obama has just entered his fifth year as president.

    In October of 2003, unemployment was 6.1%. Today it is 7.7%.

    The GDP during the third quarter of 2003 was 7.2%. Today it is 0.4%.

    Today the poverty rate has hit a 45 year high and the labor participation rate a 34 year low.

    More from the New York Times’ wayback machine:

    According to government statistics, there are nearly 4.5 million people working part-time because they have been unable to find full-time work. In many cases, as the outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas noted in a recent report, the part-time worker is ‘earning far less money than his or her background and experience warrant — i.e. a computer programmer working at a coffee shop.’

    Economists expect some modest job creation to occur over the next several months. But there’s a ‘just in time for the election’ quality to the current economic surge, and even Republicans are worried that the momentum may not last.”
    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Journalism/2013/04/09/New-York-Times-Slams-White-House-Over-Recovery-Spin-Jobs

  33. This looks great, funny the MSM isn’t…oh wait this is bad.

    http://michaelscomments.wordpress.com/2013/04/12/the-unbridled-fury-of-the-obama-recovery/
    “The Bureau of Labor Statistics released that awful jobs report over a week ago, so I thought I’d update my newish chart to see how we’re doing. This chart ignores the traditional unemployment measures because the number of people who have fallen out of the BLS’s statistical coverage makes those numbers meaningless. Rather, I now plot the number of full-time jobs (> 34 hours/week) against the civilian non-institutional population. It basically compares the number of breadwinners to the number of breadeaters.”

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