No rush to Rushmore
July 30th, 2008 at 01:06pm Thomas V. Bona
So, after stalling with 80 seats sold - only 61 percent - RFD canceled its day trip to Mount Rushmore. Too bad, people missed out on a great romantic getaway:

 (If was good enough for Cary and Eva…)
Would the trip have sold better if they used crop dusters?
In all seriousness, got some great comments from loyal readers on this subject, and wanted to respond to them with a full post…
Craig Knauss wrote:
Hopefully they will pick up some more people for Rushmore. Right now 61% of seats are sold. Please remember, it is not necessary to fill all seats on all flights. It’s great if you do, but I’ve almost never been on a 100% full flight, and I’ve been on at least 200 of them over the years. I think the airport should operate the flight as long as it doesn’t represent a big loss. And it doesn’t look good to just cancel flights when they aren’t full. A small one is tolerable when compared to the other successes.
Unfortunately, Craig, the rules have changed with high fuel prices. The airport is only operating these day trips to break even on full planes, not make money. Tickets for Rushmore were going at least $300 apiece so, that’s $15,000 in lost revenue. And there’s no windfall on those sold out trips to Niagara and Mackinac to back them up. The program is a marketing effort to keep RFD top of mind for consumers and airlines. If flights lose thousands of dollars, the program could end prematurely. So they’re making a calculated risk that it’s better to risk alienating some people with cancelations than to not offer the program at all, or to only go to “safe” destinations like Niagara. Tough times require creative solutions, and it appears to be working so far.
ANCJason wrote:
I’m really surprised that Rushmore isn’t selling better as well. It used to be that a 61% load would suffice, but those days are over. Mt. Rushmore would have been a great July 4th getaway, so if it doesn’t work out this time, maybe they will give it a chance next summer around that time.
I think you’ll see it tried again as an overnight trip yet this season, but that would be a great July 4 trip, you’re right. People are still getting used to the *concept* of day trips from RFD, so that’s part of it. I’m not overly surprised it didn’t work out, given the distance and price and relativley short window. But we’ll see what Bob and the gang have up their sleeves.
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4 Comments Add your own
1. Mike F | July 30th, 2008 at 1:40 pm
61% ? How much lead time was there between announcement of trip and flight and when was it cancelled? Do they have to sell out immediately of they get cancelled? come on, let\’s get real. if they gave it more time, maybe they would sell more seats.
2. Thomas V. Bona | July 30th, 2008 at 2:41 pm
Tickets went on sale a week ago and it was canceled yesterday. They didn’t want to wait longer to decide one way or another … they feel like canceling a week out or sooner is cutting it too close.
Note that they sold 63 seats in the first day and then only 18 seats after. Sales really stalled by the weekend and, by airport calculations from traditional sales patterns, there was no indication there would be a late rally.
They might have sold more seats, but even if they got it down to 30 empty, it would still be like $9,000 lost. Unfortunately in these tough times, the day trips do have to sell strongly or they won’t go. They don’t have to sell out immediately, but the airport needs an indication that they’ll get close (Indy didn’t sell out til a few days before, but sales were steady).
3. ANCJason | July 31st, 2008 at 5:56 am
Overnight Trip Program - that sounds like a really good concept. Probably a good idea to hone the Day Trip Program into shape first, which is what they are doing very well at right now. Very good MGMT team at the helm.
Taking a guess here, but I imagine that the day trip program is summer-only until Allegiant winter traffic picks back up? Thoughts?
4. Thomas V. Bona | July 31st, 2008 at 8:59 am
If I remember correctly, Bob said he’d like the program to be 10 months a year. Not sure of the two off months would be December/January, but it might make sense because of logistics (avoiding snow-outs, for example). Allegiant really isn’t picking up until December anyway.
Like many aspects, I suspect that’s a work in progress.
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